A Positive Start for 2012 Sarasota Real Estate Sales

The Moulton Sarasota Real Estate Report – January 2012

The 2012 selling season is off to a strong start as the Sarasota real estate market continues to show strong signs of sustained recovery. Whether it is the affordability factor including stabilized prices, more concessions on the part of sellers hungry to move their properties, record low interest rates, or the rising sales and lower inventory that are leading to more balanced conditions, there is no question that the activity in our area is elevated. As I discuss the heightened energy with my peers, we mutually agree that the sentiment from many interested buyers is that they feel that if they do not buy now, they may miss a remarkable opportunity. So, in addition to strong sales data, we are also beginning to see a sense of urgency from purchasers.

During all of 2011, the monthly average of 657 sales per month was an improvement of more than 6% over the prior year. During our first month of 2012, there were 506 closed sales, which was similar to January 2011. January is typically a slower closing month coming out of the holiday season and not always the most definitive indicator of what is to come for the year.   In analyzing all statistical gauges such as sales, inventory, and pending sales together, I feel confident that we are on pace to not only just maintain the growth we established last year but, also to continue advancement.

The overall inventory has declined 22% since the end of 2010, with 1,275 less properties for sale, and there was an increase in pending sales of considerable proportions at more than 54% from December 2011 and 22.3% compared to last January. When using this data to establish inventory, there are just 4.3 months of available properties after taking into account the number of pending sales for the month. The industry has established 6-months of inventory to be a healthy balance between a buyers and sellers market with lower inventory numbers indicating a trend toward a sellers market.

When not applying pending sales to the inventory estimates, there is now just 6.7 months of inventory for properties listed under $500,000, down slightly from the beginning of 2011. In the segment between $500,000 and $1,000,000, there is a 21-month inventory vs. 19 months to begin 2011. The inventory of available luxury properties over $1,000,000 has risen 6% from the end of 2011, 36 more properties, but is down more than 15% compared to January a year ago, now at a level reported to be the lowest since 2003. I see last month’s increase in inventory as a sign that more sellers are entering the market both because they believe now is the right time to sell and also because of the peak tourist season being upon us bringing more buyers into the area.

The following statistical data is provided through the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) of the Sarasota Association of Realtors. The table summarizes what happened in each price segment. The Sold (Closed), Pending Sale and Listings columns are sales and listings for the month of the report, and the Pending and Listed are the current totals of each in the MLS system. The Sold column is the total sales for the stated year. The Listed YE (Year-End) column shows the listing inventory at the end of 2011 and 2010.

Sold

Sold

Sold

Sold

Pending

Pending

Listed

Listed

Listed

Listed

Houses

Jan ’12

Jan ’11

2011

2010

Jan

Total

Jan

Total

YE ’11

YE ’10

under $250k

213

241

3424

3288

374

980

527

886

916

1408

$250k – $500k

68

64

1063

1032

127

256

152

728

686

802

$500k – $750k

17

13

277

267

26

53

54

297

264

302

$750k – $1m

7

5

132

112

16

34

32

198

188

233

$1m – $1.5m

2

4

77

79

10

16

21

152

143

186

$1.5m – $2m

0

1

38

32

1

6

14

112

105

98

$2m – $3m

3

3

38

29

5

9

22

84

75

106

$3m & above

1

3

19

14

5

9

17

125

118

112

Totals

311

334

5068

4853

564

1363

839

2582

2495

3247

Condos

under $250k

130

138

1960

1699

151

397

334

899

865

1254

$250k – $500k

41

34

558

507

48

82

91

532

505

696

$500k – $750k

10

6

150

184

12

33

33

210

206

227

$750k – $1m

4

5

47

68

4

11

11

101

98

124

$1m – $1.5m

7

4

54

50

2

5

10

67

61

85

$1.5m – $2m

0

0

20

17

2

4

5

30

31

47

$2m – $3m

2

0

21

19

3

5

2

30

33

47

$3m & above

1

0

2

2

2

2

4

25

23

24

Totals

195

187

2812

2546

224

539

490

1894

1822

2504

Grand Totals

506

521

7880

7399

788

1902

1329

4476

4317

5751

 

The link below will take you to the most recent TrendGraphix Residential Real Estate Market Trend Report for Southwest Florida offering extensive data on regional activity, provided by Michael Saunders & Company.

TrendGraphix January 2012 Market Report

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