A Positive Start for 2012 Sarasota Real Estate Sales
The Moulton Sarasota Real Estate Report – January 2012
The 2012 selling season is off to a strong start as the Sarasota real estate market continues to show strong signs of sustained recovery. Whether it is the affordability factor including stabilized prices, more concessions on the part of sellers hungry to move their properties, record low interest rates, or the rising sales and lower inventory that are leading to more balanced conditions, there is no question that the activity in our area is elevated. As I discuss the heightened energy with my peers, we mutually agree that the sentiment from many interested buyers is that they feel that if they do not buy now, they may miss a remarkable opportunity. So, in addition to strong sales data, we are also beginning to see a sense of urgency from purchasers.
During all of 2011, the monthly average of 657 sales per month was an improvement of more than 6% over the prior year. During our first month of 2012, there were 506 closed sales, which was similar to January 2011. January is typically a slower closing month coming out of the holiday season and not always the most definitive indicator of what is to come for the year. In analyzing all statistical gauges such as sales, inventory, and pending sales together, I feel confident that we are on pace to not only just maintain the growth we established last year but, also to continue advancement.
The overall inventory has declined 22% since the end of 2010, with 1,275 less properties for sale, and there was an increase in pending sales of considerable proportions at more than 54% from December 2011 and 22.3% compared to last January. When using this data to establish inventory, there are just 4.3 months of available properties after taking into account the number of pending sales for the month. The industry has established 6-months of inventory to be a healthy balance between a buyers and sellers market with lower inventory numbers indicating a trend toward a sellers market.
When not applying pending sales to the inventory estimates, there is now just 6.7 months of inventory for properties listed under $500,000, down slightly from the beginning of 2011. In the segment between $500,000 and $1,000,000, there is a 21-month inventory vs. 19 months to begin 2011. The inventory of available luxury properties over $1,000,000 has risen 6% from the end of 2011, 36 more properties, but is down more than 15% compared to January a year ago, now at a level reported to be the lowest since 2003. I see last month’s increase in inventory as a sign that more sellers are entering the market both because they believe now is the right time to sell and also because of the peak tourist season being upon us bringing more buyers into the area.
The following statistical data is provided through the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) of the Sarasota Association of Realtors. The table summarizes what happened in each price segment. The Sold (Closed), Pending Sale and Listings columns are sales and listings for the month of the report, and the Pending and Listed are the current totals of each in the MLS system. The Sold column is the total sales for the stated year. The Listed YE (Year-End) column shows the listing inventory at the end of 2011 and 2010.
Sold |
Sold |
Sold |
Sold |
Pending |
Pending |
Listed |
Listed |
Listed |
Listed |
|
Houses |
Jan ’12 |
Jan ’11 |
2011 |
2010 |
Jan |
Total |
Jan |
Total |
YE ’11 |
YE ’10 |
under $250k |
213 |
241 |
3424 |
3288 |
374 |
980 |
527 |
886 |
916 |
1408 |
$250k – $500k |
68 |
64 |
1063 |
1032 |
127 |
256 |
152 |
728 |
686 |
802 |
$500k – $750k |
17 |
13 |
277 |
267 |
26 |
53 |
54 |
297 |
264 |
302 |
$750k – $1m |
7 |
5 |
132 |
112 |
16 |
34 |
32 |
198 |
188 |
233 |
$1m – $1.5m |
2 |
4 |
77 |
79 |
10 |
16 |
21 |
152 |
143 |
186 |
$1.5m – $2m |
0 |
1 |
38 |
32 |
1 |
6 |
14 |
112 |
105 |
98 |
$2m – $3m |
3 |
3 |
38 |
29 |
5 |
9 |
22 |
84 |
75 |
106 |
$3m & above |
1 |
3 |
19 |
14 |
5 |
9 |
17 |
125 |
118 |
112 |
Totals |
311 |
334 |
5068 |
4853 |
564 |
1363 |
839 |
2582 |
2495 |
3247 |
Condos |
||||||||||
under $250k |
130 |
138 |
1960 |
1699 |
151 |
397 |
334 |
899 |
865 |
1254 |
$250k – $500k |
41 |
34 |
558 |
507 |
48 |
82 |
91 |
532 |
505 |
696 |
$500k – $750k |
10 |
6 |
150 |
184 |
12 |
33 |
33 |
210 |
206 |
227 |
$750k – $1m |
4 |
5 |
47 |
68 |
4 |
11 |
11 |
101 |
98 |
124 |
$1m – $1.5m |
7 |
4 |
54 |
50 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
67 |
61 |
85 |
$1.5m – $2m |
0 |
0 |
20 |
17 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
30 |
31 |
47 |
$2m – $3m |
2 |
0 |
21 |
19 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
30 |
33 |
47 |
$3m & above |
1 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
25 |
23 |
24 |
Totals |
195 |
187 |
2812 |
2546 |
224 |
539 |
490 |
1894 |
1822 |
2504 |
Grand Totals |
506 |
521 |
7880 |
7399 |
788 |
1902 |
1329 |
4476 |
4317 |
5751 |